![]() The entire offensive line returns – and while their play was below average last season a real off-season together should help continuity and lead to this unit ticking up. Both coaches came under scrutiny from Pete Carroll in Seattle for their pass-happy ways. I’m bullish on new offensive coordinator Darrell Bevell and passing game coordinator Brian Schottenheimer more than most. Multiple players have spoken about a positive culture change with renewed energy now that Urban Meyer is steering the ship. The Jaguars completely overhauled their coaching staff after the season, getting rid of dead-weight Doug Marrone and offensive coordinator Jay Gruden, whose run-heavy first down play-calls handicapped the offense all season. They also happened to be one of the most penalized teams in the league with a -29 penalty margin. Jacksonville had a -26 sack margin, with an abysmal 18 sacks the entire season. ![]() Jacksonville was 0-4 in games decided by a field goal or less, and 1-6 in one score games. There’s so much to unwrap when looking to invest money on a Jaguars season long win total, so let’s start with what actually transpired on the field last season. The Pythagorean Expectation pegged the Jaguars closer to a 5-win team when factoring in their -8 turnover margin. After their shocking come-from-behind win as an 8+ point underdog to Indianapolis Week 1, Jacksonville proceeded to lose every game, ending the season with a 1-15 record. The team that underachieved most last season was the Jacksonville Jaguars. While analyzing these teams I was able to focus on one in particular whose number has not moved to where it’s impossible to invest. San Francisco 49ers – Expected Wins (8.423) Actual Wins (6) Philadelphia Eagles – Expected Wins (6.943) Actual Wins (4) Houston Texans – Expected Wins (7.069) Actual Wins (4) Jacksonville Jaguars – Expected Wins (4.998) Actual Wins (1)Ītlanta Falcons – Expected Wins (7.449) Actual Wins (4) Listen to Bet the Board’s NFL Preview Series Loaded with Best Bets ! Tennessee Titans – Expected Wins (8.300) Actual Wins (11) Green Bay Packers – Expected Wins (10.158) Actual Wins (13) Kansas City Chiefs – Expected Wins (9.778) Actual Wins (14)Ĭleveland Browns – Expected Wins (7.468) Actual Wins (11)īuffalo Bills – Expected Wins (10.063) Actual Wins (13) Place All Your Football Bets this Season at FanDuel and Start with $2,000 RISK FREE ! Below are the top five teams in each category that greatly played above or below expectation last season. Most teams play relatively close to their Pythagorean number, while others greatly over or under perform. Using point differential and turnover margin, the Pythagorean Expectation Formula helps us arrive at a win number that more accurately reflects team strength. Schedule challenges, injuries, training camp reports, and even vaccination rates are going to play a role this season as we break down the potential success of each franchise. Taking an in-depth look at personnel changes in the front office and sideline is critical to determining the future. It’s worth repeating every year (and I do), that this exercise is a minimal part of what is required to gain an edge in the NFL futures market, where your money will be tied up for a minimum of 5 months. Every off-season we look back on the season that was to see how each team stacks up to the Pythagorean Expectation Test, a trivial mathematical equation that reveals what our eyes potentially could not. ![]() With more relaxed policies will other strains wreak havoc week-to-week for bettors and bookmakers alike? Time will tell. Covid-19 and other variants don’t seem to be going anywhere anytime soon, so teams will have to adjust to the new rules for vaccinated and unvaccinated players. We now have an 18th regular season week, while the preseason decreased to 3 games for all but the Cowboys and Steelers. All 32 teams are in training camp for the upcoming 2021 NFL season, one that will bring about significant change in multiple ways.
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |
Details
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |